Constitution of the Tunisian Republic 2022: hyperpresidentialist, autocratic and polarizing political change
Abstract
This paper questions the impact of the constitutional replacement in Tunisia, promoted by President Kais Saied, on the exercise of resistance to autocratisation. It approaches the dilemma by considering three factors: the new content of the regulation on the allocation and exercise of political power, the political and cultural contextual conditions of its implementation, and the nature of the resistance's reaction to the new order. Considering different possible combinations of these factors, it suggests and tests two hypotheses: the change either (H1) presidentialises the form of government, illiberalises the regime, harms only part of the resistance, and stabilises the level of affective polarisation, or (H2) hyper-presidentialises the form of government, establishes an autocracy, harms the resistance as a whole and enhances affective polarisation. The result of the analysis verifies the second alternative.
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