Scenarios in the Ecological Transition: respecting biodiversity as a challenge for economic and employment policies
Abstract
Based on the research Biodiversity, economy and employment in Spain. Analysis and future prospects (Oteros et al, 2022), we focus on the dimensions of change in the production model and, in particular, on biodiversity-friendly occupations and employment. The objective is to: a) to examine the investment, expenditure and type of action of the Spanish economy in relation to employment and biodiversity between 2011 and 2019; b) to make a projection on employment, under the hypothesis of change towards a productive model based on a society-nature metabolism compatible with biodiversity, projecting for the period 2019-2028, according to different scenarios, a smooth or intense transition in the structure of occupations; c) suggesting potential lines of transformation needed -reconversions of activities and changes in working time- to enable a socially just ecological transition whose conditions can prevent the dangers that threaten biodiversity in Spain.
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