Analysis of Socio-climatic Vulnerability in Andalusia: A Perspective for Preventive Action in Social Work.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5209/cuts.99681
Keywords: socioclimatic vulnerability, social work, principal component analysis, climate change, prevention

Abstract

The development of future scenario methodologies is essential to reinforce the preventive function in social work in view of the increase in natural disasters linked to climate change. This study analyzes the evolution of socio-climatic vulnerability in Andalusia through the combination of a social vulnerability index with regional climate predictions from the IPCC’s 6th Assessment Report. The research was based on a quantitative and territorial approach, integrating the analysis of social indicators with climate variables and their territorial representation through geographic information systems (GIS) to identify priority areas for intervention. The results show a widespread worsening of socio-climatic vulnerability in the coming decades, with particular intensity in the northeastern regions of Andalusia, where the most unfavourable evolution is predicted. Rurality is also a key factor in the intensification of vulnerability, due to a combination of greater socioeconomic limitations and increasing climate exposure. In conclusion, the incorporation of predictive methods and territorial assessment tools into social work can guide the planning of resources, anticipate impacts and strengthen community resilience, contributing to the reduction of social risks and to a more equitable territorial adaptation.

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Author Biographies

Raquel García-Parra, Pablo de Olavide University

Graduate in Social Work from the Pablo de Olavide University in Seville. Official Master's Degree in Culture and Diversity Intervention from the Pablo de Olavide University in Seville. Main lines of research: ecosocial social work, social work and climate change.

Mireia Masdeu Valdivia, Universidad Pablo de Olavide

Graduate in Social Work from the Pablo de Olavide University in Seville. Official Master's Degree in Methodology applied to Public Policy from the Pablo de Olavide University of Seville. Research Support Contract at the Macrosad Green Social Work Chair at the UPO. Main lines of research: ecosocial social work, social work and climate change.

Fernando Relinque-Medina, Pablo de Olavide University
Associate Professor-tenured at the Pablo de Olavide University in Seville. Director of the Macrosad Chair in Green Social Work. He teaches in the Degree in Social Work, several Master and Doctorate programmes at the Pablo de Olavide University, as well as Master at the University of Jaén and at ICSTE University Institute of Lisbon.  He has published several international stays in Valparaíso (Chile), Lisbo (Postugal), Paris (France), Rome (Italy) as well as national stays at CISOT-CIEMAT in Barcelona, University of Alicante and University of Jaén. He has published more than 20 scientific articles in indexed journals as well as more than 30 book chapters and 5 books related to social work. His research interests are focused on Ecosocial Social Work, Social Impact Assessment and the application of AI and new technologies in the field of social services.
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Published
2026-07-17
How to Cite
García-Parra, R., Masdeu Valdivia, M., & Relinque-Medina, F. (2026). Análisis de la Vulnerabilidad Socioclimática en Andalucía: Una Perspectiva para la Acción Preventiva en Trabajo Social. Cuadernos de Trabajo Social, 39(2), 273-302. https://doi.org/10.5209/cuts.99681
Issue
Vol. 39 No. 2 (2026)
Section
Articles

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